California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Fresno (72.0%), Orange (44.0%), Riverside (43.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Orange | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Riverside | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| San Joaquin | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| San Bernardino | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| San Luis Obispo | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Fresno:
If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election in Fresno County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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