California 01 House General Election: voter turnout
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 180K (96.0%), Above 210K (91.0%), Above 230K (75.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 180K | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 210K | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 230K | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 250K | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Above 260K | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Above 270K | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above 280K | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Above 290K | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Above 300K | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 310K | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 180K:
If the total vote count for all participants in California 01 House General Election is above 180000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
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