Yucatán Congress Election Winner

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:26:38 UTC, Polymarket traders price Morena (57.0%), Party K (50.0%), Party R (50.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Jun 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Morena57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Party K50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party R50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party AB50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party F50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party G50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party U50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party M50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party I50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party W50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party N50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party Y50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party C50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party A50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party E50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Yucatán are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Yucatán as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group me…

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.