Baja California Sur Congress Election Winner
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:36:06 UTC, Polymarket traders price Morena (73.0%), Party E (50.0%), Party Q (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Party E | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party Q | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party U | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party W | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party AA | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party AB | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party AC | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party V | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party O | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party P | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party AD | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party I | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party R | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party H | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $45K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Legislative elections to elect the 21 members of the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-gr…
Sources
Related markets
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Next Prime Minister of Romania?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.