Balance of Power: 2028 Election

As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:15:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price Democratic Trifecta (53.5%), Option C (50.0%), Option F (50.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Democratic Trifecta53.5%53.5¢46.5¢
Option C50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option F50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option Q50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option R50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option T50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option U50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option X50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option Y50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AA50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AC50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AD50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AF50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AH50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Option AM50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, the party that wins control of the United States Senate, and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2028 United States general election. The party that wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is the party whose candidate is elected as President of the United States in that election. The winner of the presidential election will be determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date, the winner of the presidential election will be the person who is inaugurated. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and wins the Vice Presidency in the 2028 United States Presidential Election. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be d…

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.