Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:20:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (35.0%), Before 2029 (29.0%), Before 2028 (21.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Before 2029 | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2030:
If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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