Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (4.0%). The market has $116K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the federal government (or an entity of it) announces that it will begin to, or has begun, bitcoin mining operations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. “Bitcoin mining” means the process whereby a computer system or specialized hardware (e.g., ASIC miners) is used to validate transactions and add blocks to the Bitcoin blockchain in return for newly issued bitcoins.

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