Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (22.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (9.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Sources
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