Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:10:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.2%). The market has $768 in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.2% | 3.2¢ | 96.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $768
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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