Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:04:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (3.0%). The market has $81K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $81K
- Liquidity: $81K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Meta releases Llama 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Sources
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