Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:49:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price Stefan Brodie (29.0%), Ryan Salame (12.5%), Steve Bannon (8.8%). The market has $244K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Brodie | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Ryan Salame | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| Steve Bannon | 8.8% | 8.8¢ | 91.3¢ |
| Donald Brodie | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Matt Gaetz | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Daniel Penny | 6.3% | 6.3¢ | 93.7¢ |
| Joe Exotic | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Roger Ver | 5.4% | 5.4¢ | 94.6¢ |
| Diddy | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.2¢ |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.7¢ |
| Nicolas Maduro | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Bob Menendez | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
| Himself | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $244K
- Liquidity: $349K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Stefan Brodie:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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