Who will join Trump's sovereign wealth fund before 2027?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Bill Ackman (6.0%), Chamath Palihapitiya (3.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Bill Ackman6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Chamath Palihapitiya3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Bill Ackman:

If the U.S. sovereign wealth fund has been created and employs, engages as an individual contractor, is led by, or is managed by Bill Ackman before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.