Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yariv Levin (14.0%), Orit Farkash-Hacohen (7.0%), Tally Gotliv (5.0%). The market has $44K in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Oct 2027.

Updated: Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:24 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Kalshi
• Volume: $44K
• Liquidity: $44K
• Closes: Wed, 27 Oct 2027

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Yariv Levin:

If Yariv Levin formally takes office as Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Justice in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.

Sources

• Source: Kalshi market

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