When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (8.0%), Before Nov 21, 2026 (5.0%), Before Oct 3, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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