VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 62% (97.0%), At least 64% (96.0%), At least 66% (91.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 62%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jennifer McClellan in the 2026 VA-04 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jennifer McClellan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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