VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 46% (93.0%), At least 48% (83.0%), At least 50% (69.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 46%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John McGuire in the 2026 VA-05 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by John McGuire ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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