VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 8% (97.0%), At least 10% (97.0%), At least 12% (97.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 8%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 10%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 12%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 14%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 16%86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
At least 18%74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
At least 20%52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
At least 22%34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
At least 24%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 26%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
At least 28%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 30%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 8%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tony Sabio in the 2026 VA-08 House election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tony Sabio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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