USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 56.0% (79.0%), Above 58.0% (69.0%), Above 60.0% (50.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 56.0% | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Above 58.0% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above 60.0% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 62.0% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Above 64.0% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 68.0% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 70.0% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 66.0% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 56.0%:
If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 56.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 will be determined using Tether’s reserve report for the quarter ending December 31, 2026. The market value will be equal to 100 × (U.S. Treasury Bills ÷ Total Reserves), using the dollar amounts reported by Tether. If the resulting value is reported to more than one decimal place, it will be rounded to one decimal place. If Tether changes the formatting of its reserve report but continues to publish clearly equivalent figures for direct U.S. Treasury Bills and Total Reserves, those figures will be used.
Sources
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