Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:16:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (12.0%). The market has $42K in volume and closes on Fri, 11 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $42K
- Liquidity: $42K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution uses annual average employment in Arizona for NAICS 3344 - Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, as reported by BLS QCEW. The 24,431-employee baseline is fixed to the published 2025 value at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike. QCEW publishes detailed industries for every state and annual-average files once the full year is available. For reference, the complete 2025 annual QCEW data became available with the fourth-quarter release on June 2, 2026.
Sources
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