Vancouver condo price below C$650K this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (23.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 22 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes23.0%23.0¢77.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price of apartment homes in Metro Vancouver in 2026 is below C$650,000 in any Greater Vancouver REALTORS® monthly market report covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price for apartment homes in Metro Vancouver, not the average sale price, median sale price, composite benchmark price, detached home price, townhouse price, City of Vancouver-only price, or any broader/narrower geography. For purposes of this market, “condo” in the title refers to the apartment-home property category used by the Source Agency. The market will resolve based on the first published Greater Vancouver REALTORS® monthly market report for the relevant month. Later revisions, corrections, or restatements will not affect resolution.

Sources

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