Colorado permitted housing units this year

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:39:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 30,000 (59.0%), Above 32,000 (45.0%), Above 34,000 (22.0%). The market has $132K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 30,00059.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Above 32,00045.0%45.0¢55.0¢
Above 34,00022.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Above 36,0006.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 38,0003.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 30,000:

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado. This counts housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in 1-unit, 2-unit, 3-unit, 4-unit, and 5-or-more-unit structures. Resolution uses the first U.S. Census Bureau state-level release containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

Sources

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