Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $45K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If any Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release, between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average is below 5.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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