US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 58.50% (99.0%), Above 59.00% (99.0%), Above 59.50% (98.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Fri, 15 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 58.50% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 59.00% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 59.50% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 57.00% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 57.50% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 58.00% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 56.00% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 56.50% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 60.00% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 60.50% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 61.00% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 61.50% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Above 62.00% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 63.00% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 62.50% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 58.50%:
If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 is above 58.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2026 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2026. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2026 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.
Sources
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