US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
As of Thu, 06 Aug 2026 06:26:03 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.7%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.7% | 3.7¢ | 96.3¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Kalshi | 4.5% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $29K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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