Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
As of Fri, 25 Sep 2026 21:03:58 UTC, Opinion traders price Ron DeSantis (96.8%), Nikki Haley (92.1%), J.D. Vance (26.5%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 96.8% | 96.8¢ | 3.2¢ |
| Nikki Haley | 92.1% | 92.1¢ | 7.9¢ |
| J.D. Vance | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Josh Hawley | 16.3% | 16.3¢ | 83.7¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 10.7% | 10.7¢ | 89.3¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 9.9% | 9.9¢ | 90.1¢ |
| Rand Paul | 8.2% | 8.2¢ | 91.8¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ |
| Donald Trump | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Haley | Kalshi | 0.0% | |
| Thomas Massie | Kalshi | 1.0% | |
| Ted Cruz | Kalshi | 2.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Opinion
- Volume: $65K
- Liquidity: $25.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources
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