2028 Republican presidential nominee — odds by venue
| Outcome | Kalshi | Opinion | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz | 2.3% | — | 2.3% on Kalshi |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 14.9% | 1% on Kalshi |
| Nikki Haley | 0.4% | — | 0.4% on Kalshi |
Venues
- Kalshi: Volume $69.7M · Liquidity $69.7M · Price time —
- Opinion: Volume $64.6K · Liquidity $25.6M · Price time —
Resolution rules
Opinion
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.