Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democratic party (70.0%), Republican party (25.0%), John Fetterman (7.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Thu, 04 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Democratic party70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Republican party25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
John Fetterman7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Democratic party:

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Pennsylvania for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Note: If John Fetterman runs as a member of the Democratic party and wins, then that market will resolve to Yes and John Fetterman (as an independent) will resolve to No.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.