Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
As of Fri, 21 Aug 2026 21:02:39 UTC, Polymarket traders price Rebeca Grynspan (27.5%), Rafael Grossi (19.1%), María Fernanda Espinosa (10.3%). The market has $53K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| Rafael Grossi | 19.1% | 19.1¢ | 80.8¢ |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 10.3% | 10.3¢ | 89.7¢ |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 8.9% | 8.9¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Macky Sall | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Olara Otunnu | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Michelle Bachelet | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| Ivonne de Baki | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $53K
- Liquidity: $102K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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