Next Senate Majority Leader?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:13:24 UTC, Polymarket traders price Chuck Schumer (55.0%), John Thune (24.5%), Brian Schatz (7.8%). The market has $111K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| John Thune | 24.5% | 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ |
| Brian Schatz | 7.8% | 7.8¢ | 92.3¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
| Chris Van Hollen | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Cory Booker | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.3¢ |
| Steve Daines | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ |
| Patty Murray | 1.2% | 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ |
| John Barrasso | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $111K
- Liquidity: $332K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Sources
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