How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:10:40 UTC, Polymarket traders price 12-15 (78.3%), 16-19 (9.5%), <12 (5.5%). The market has $996 in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12-15 | 78.3% | 78.3¢ | 21.6¢ |
| 16-19 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| <12 | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| 20-23 | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
| 24-27 | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
| 28-31 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| 32+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $996
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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