EU debt downgrade before 2027?
As of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 21:08:26 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (17.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $195
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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