Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:39:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price Isamaa (53.0%), Other (50.0%), Party C (50.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Isamaa53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Other50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party C50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party I50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party K50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party N50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party R50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party V50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party Q50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party D50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party F50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party G50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party J50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party L50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Party T50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Riigikogu of Estonia are scheduled to take place on March 7, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Riigikogu as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Riigiko…

Sources

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