French Presidential Election First Round Winner
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:18:35 UTC, Polymarket traders price Marine Le Pen (85.5%), Candidate J (50.0%), Candidate A (50.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Sun, 18 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 85.5% | 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ |
| Candidate J | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate G | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate H | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate I | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate K | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate L | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate M | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Candidate N | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $319K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Sources
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