DeepSeek market share this week

As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 12:43:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 25.9% (99.0%), Above 28.5% (98.0%), Above 27.4% (98.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Mon, 16 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 25.9%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 28.5%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 27.4%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 28.1%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 29.0%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 29.9%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 30.6%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 29.5%86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Above 32.1%61.0%61.0¢39.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 25.9%:

If DeepSeek scores above 25.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Nov 2, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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