CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (95.0%), At least 26% (94.0%), At least 24% (94.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Smith in the 2026 CA-24 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bob Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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