Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:41:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Meta (12.0%), OpenAI (8.0%), Baidu (4.0%). The market has $1.2M in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Meta12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
OpenAI8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Baidu4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
ByteDance4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Deepseek4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Moonshot AI3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Mistral3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Z.ai3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
01A13.0%3.0¢97.0¢
xAI3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Nvidia3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Alibaba2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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