When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:34:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 31, 2026 (68.0%), Before Nov 13, 2026 (36.0%), Before Nov 6, 2026 (35.0%). The market has $455K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 31, 2026 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Before Nov 6, 2026 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Before Oct 23, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Sep 25, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 9, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $455K
- Liquidity: $455K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 31, 2026:
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Sources
Related markets
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic release Mythos?
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI market share this week
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.