Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 15:36:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2029 (73.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (53.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (17.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Sources
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