Google market share this week

As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 11:02:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 10.7% (99.0%), Above 12.8% (87.0%), Above 14.4% (51.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Mon, 16 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 10.7%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 12.8%87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above 14.4%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 13.8%49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 15.1%28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
Above 15.7%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Above 16.4%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 17.4%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 19.4%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 10.7%:

If Google scores above 10.7% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Nov 2, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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