Kash Patel out by...?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:58:38 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (20.5%), October 31 (2.9%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December 3120.5%20.5¢79.5¢
October 312.9%2.9¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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