Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
As of Wed, 26 Aug 2026 03:22:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (24.5%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24.5% | 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $153K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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