Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 80% (97.0%), At least 82% (97.0%), At least 84% (96.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 80% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 82% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 84% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 85% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 86% | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| At least 87% | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| At least 88% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 90% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 92% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 96% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 94% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 80%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Sources
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