CA-09 House winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:53:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Josh Harder (96.5%), John McBride (3.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Josh Harder96.5%96.5¢3.5¢
John McBride3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Josh Harder:

If the House member sworn in for CA-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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