Astra 6.1+ debut arena score

As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 10:03:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1420 (88.0%), Above 1430 (82.0%), Above 1440 (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 142088.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 143082.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Above 144076.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 145064.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 146046.0%46.0¢54.0¢
Above 147043.0%43.0¢57.0¢
Above 148037.0%37.0¢63.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1420:

If A OpenAI Astra model designated version 6.1 or higher scores Above 1420 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Arena. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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