Measles cases this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:02:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4000 (100.0%), Above 3000 (100.0%), Above 5000 (97.0%). The market has $1.9M in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4000 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3000 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 5000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 6000 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 7000 | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Above 8000 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 9000 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Above 10000 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.9M
- Liquidity: $1.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 4000:
If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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