Best AI this month

As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:32:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gemini (70.0%), Claude (25.0%), ChatGPT (4.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Gemini70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Claude25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
ChatGPT4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Muse1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Qwen1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Kimi1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Grok1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gemini:

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Sources

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