Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:49:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1.2m (56.0%), 1.3m (14.0%), 1.5m (11.8%). The market has $128K in volume and closes on Sun, 28 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2m | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| 1.3m | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 1.5m | 11.8% | 11.8¢ | 88.3¢ |
| 1.4m | 9.7% | 9.7¢ | 90.3¢ |
| 1.7m | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| 2m | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 97.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $128K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Fed Decision in October?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.