Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:40:55 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (8.0%), October 31 (1.9%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:40:55 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Polymarket
• Volume: $12K
• Liquidity: $5K
• Closes: Fri, 01 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

• Source: Polymarket market

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