Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

As of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 21:34:54 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (76.0%). The market has $113K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes76.0%76.0¢24.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Sources

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