Will Trump be impeached by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:46:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (61.5%), June 30, 2027 (48.5%), December 31, 2026 (1.8%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 61.5% | 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 1.8% | 1.8¢ | 98.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $115K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Sources
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